Thursday, April 30, 2015

NFL Draft: Final Thoughts

The NFL Draft is finally here! Here are some of my final thoughts before the clock starts at 8pm.


1. Jameis Winston will be taken first overall, unless JJ Watt and and first round pick are put on the table. Tampa Bay has been overall satisfied with what they've seen and heard from Winston and want him to be the face of the franchise.

2. Tennessee should make the move and trade away number two. The asking price should be high, but Philly and Cleveland are still calling the Titans. If they don't make the deal, I'm told they're still comfortable taking Marcus Mariota.

3. Don't sleep on Jacksonville to be in play for a receiver. Word from the Jags' camp is that they're REALLY high on Amari Cooper.

4. Two players have had issues during the weeks leading up to the Draft with substance abuse (Randy Gregory and Shane Ray). While they have dropped out of the top-10, I can't see them falling out of the first round.

5. The Jets don't like the 5 slot. They've been phoning teams to gauge the value of their pick, as well as talking about both moving up or trading down. If they trade down, look for them to target Gregory or Ray.

6. Corner has been a hard position to judge. There are at least four players with first round ability, and I think four or five will be taken in the first round.

7. Landon Collins draft value is dropping. He should be a first round pick, but don't be surprised if he isn't the only safety taken in the first. Many analysts have Damarious Randall (Arizona State) as their best safety.

8. Outside of the top-10 players, there isn't a clear cut census as to what players are really the next level talent. Players like Jake Fisher, Cedric Ogbuehi, Devin Smith, Nelson Agholor and Eli Harold are all players that are on the fringe that could surprise people by getting drafted in the first round.

9. Miami REALLY REALLY likes DaVante Parker. If he is still on the board i wouldn't be shocked if he's the pick, but keep your eyes out for Todd Gurley to Miami as well.

10. I've heard the Rams are very high on OT Ereck Flowers. They could move back a few picks and still nab him. Look for the Dolphins to make a move to take Parker.

11. Baltimore needs offensive weapons. Running Back and Receiver should be areas to target, but if there isn't value when they go on the clock, look for them to take a corner and sure up their secondary. Baltimore does a great job of letting the draft fall to them and taking the best player available.

12. The New England Patriots will likely try to trade out of the first round, as they always do. They can demand a little more for their 32nd pick, since many teams would want to jump back into the first to get a 5th year option on the player they're drafting.

13. St. Louis, the New York Jets, and the Buccaneers should all be looking to jump back into the first round depending on the players available. I think the Rams would be ion play for a quarterback (Bryce Petty or Brett Hundley), while the Jets should be looking to add another receiver.

14. Since 2004, only four quarterbacks drafted in the first round have won a Super Bowl (Eli Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger, Joe Flacco). I don't believe that Winston or Mariota are going to be the best pros from this class.

15. The Packers are very high on LB Erick Kendricks and CB Jalen Collins. Most analysts have both of these players as second round talent and should be available early in round 2. Look for Green Bay to field offers for their pick.

16. Todd Gurley might be taken as early as 5th overall, and may not make it out of the top-10.

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